
The Iran war is "testing the resilience of the global economy," and is set to dampen economic growth this year, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said in a report released on Thursday.
Global growth is forecast to slow to 2.9% this year before edging back up to 3.0% in 2027, according to the OECD.
The unpredictable trajectory of the Middle East conflict was driving up costs and dampening demand, offsetting the positive impetus from investment in new technologies and the momentum carried over from the previous year, it said.
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and damage to energy infrastructure had caused a sharp rise in energy prices and disrupted supplies of other key materials such as fertilizer, according to the OECD.
The scale and duration of the conflict were highly uncertain, but a prolonged period of higher energy prices would significantly increase costs for businesses and consumer prices, with negative consequences for growth, the OECD said.
The "evolving conflict [...] generates significant uncertainty around global demand," it said.
In the US, growth is expected to slow from 2.0% this year to 1.7% next year, the OECD forecast, as strong investment in artificial intelligence is gradually offset by a slowdown in income growth and consumer spending.
In the eurozone, the OECD expects growth to slow to 0.8% this year before recovering to 1.2% in 2027, boosted by higher defence spending.
In China, growth is projected to fall to 4.4% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027.
The conflict was also weighing on the growth of the German economy, which the OECD said would grow by only 0.8% this year - 0.2 percentage points less than forecast in its previous economic outlook in December.
Growth of 1.5% is still expected for 2027, unchanged from the previous forecast.
LATEST POSTS
- 1
The gay hockey show no one saw coming — and everyone is suddenly obsessed with - 2
Vote in favor of your favored spot to peruse - 3
'People We Meet on Vacation' is the 1st of many Emily Henry adaptations: What other books turned movies to look forward to - 4
Wedding Guest Outraged That Bride and Groom, Who Are in Their 60s and Have Both Been Married Before, Registered for Gifts - 5
If someone's always late, is it time blindness, or are they just being rude?
Google's proposed data center in orbit will face issues with space debris in an already crowded orbit
China's 1st reusable rocket explodes in dramatic fireball during landing after reaching orbit on debut flight
Astronauts' brains change shape and position after time in space, study finds
New York to require social media platforms to display mental health warnings
Instructions to Safeguard Your Speculations In the midst of Changing Disc Rates
Why Tourists May Want To Reconsider Traveling To This Popular Spot In Italy In 2026
Israel says Iran's military industry will be destroyed 'within days'
8 key takeaways from Savannah Guthrie's 'Today' interview on the disappearance of her mother
Step by step instructions to Safeguard Your Teeth During Sports Exercises













